Urban Science: Integrated Theory from the First Cities to Sustainable Metropolises

The emergence of cities is a relatively recent phenomenon in human history. Their appearance in the archaeological record coincides with the advent of increasingly sedentary, agricultural, bureaucratic, and politically asymmetrical societies. Read more

Ranking earthquake forecasts using proper scoring rules: binary events in a low probability environment

Probabilistic earthquake forecasts estimate the spatial and/or temporal evolution of seismicity and offer practical guidance to authorities during earthquake sequences, especially following notable earthquakes. Read more

Root and community inference on latent network growth processes using noisy attachment models

Complex networks can be analysed using a variety of statistical models including classic Erdös–Rényi random graphs, latent space models, configuration graphs and others. These models generally specify some structure – arising from the existence of communities, for example – but the order in which the edges are added is of no importance. Read more