Month: November 2020
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Narrative structure of A Song of Ice and Fire creates a fictional world with realistic measures of social complexity
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The global television hit Game of Thrones, first aired in 2011, was inspired by a series of fantasy books written by George R. R. Martin. Since publication in 1996, A Song of Ice and Fire has been translated into more than 45 […]
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Using posterior predictive distributions to analyse epidemic models: COVID-19 in Mexico City
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Scientists and public health officials have relied on a variety of epidemiological models to forecast the trajectory of the coronavirus pandemic, and to derive guidance for policies aiming to avoid overloading health facilities. All such models contain parameters, and forecasting tools tend […]
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Modeling the second wave of COVID-19 infections in France and Italy via a stochastic SEIR model
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Late in the spring of this year, many nations around the world, especially in Europe, faced public health crises, as coronavirus infections threatened to overwhelm their intensive care facilities. Authorities responded with drastic measures to reduce social contacts, closing businesses and schools, […]