Asymptotic estimates of SARS-CoV-2 infection counts and their sensitivity to stochastic perturbation

Since the outbreak of the coronavirus, modellers from around the world have scrambled to predict the course of its spread, projecting forward from data on past infections and deaths in any region. Such estimates help public health officials and governments to judge the possible risks they face, and, on their basis, many nations have imposed restrictive social confinement measures. Read more

The effect of social balance on social fragmentation

Nations and communities typically function as relatively coherent groups, yet also occasionally fall apart or fragment into highly polarised sub-groups. Read more