Improving the art of earthquake prediction
In Southern California, Japan, Indonesia or other areas around the world prone to earthquakes, people at risk face vast uncertainty about when, where, and how strong the next one will be.
Entries by Mark Buchanan
Predicting chaos with an optimal combination of data and prior knowledge
Early in the 20th century, experts tried to forecast the weather by noting current conditions, patterns of winds, temperatures and air pressures, and looking into historical records to find previous moments when similar conditions prevailed. Looking a few days forward in the records, they could then make predictions by assuming the atmosphere would evolve as […]
Heteroclinic networks – probing the hidden influence of unstable fixed points
The stable fixed points of a dynamical system attract obvious interest as potential resting points, or final states. Without continued forcing, for example, a physical pendulum will ultimately end up hanging motionless in the downward position.
Switching dynamics in atmospheric flow
The jet stream is a band of air that flows around the Earth at high-altitude, moving West to East in mid-latitude regions. This so-called “zonal” flow typically has cyclones and anticyclones embedded within it, which last for a few days.
Understanding the microbiome… and other recent essays
Below are links to a handful of recent articles published by LML Fellow Mark Buchanan.
Empirical limits in the estimation of financial risk measures
Following the financial crisis of 2007-2008, governments and financial regulators all over the globe pledged to reduce risk in the financial system. Many have raised capital requirements on banks, while others have tried to force financial institutions to be less opaque in communications with their clients.
LML External Fellows 2017/18
We are pleased to announce the LML External Fellows of 2017/18: Mark Buchanan, Fabio Caccioli, Colm Connaughton, Isaac Pérez Castillo, Davide Faranda, Michelle Girvan, Rosemary Harris, Rainer Klages, Imre Kondor, Jeroen Lamb, Fernando Metz, Claire Postlethwaite, Yuzuru Sato, Erica Thompson, Max Werner, Hyejin Youn and Jiancang Zhuang.
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